%0 Conference Proceedings
%4 dpi.inpe.br/marte2/2013/05.28.23.24.29
%2 dpi.inpe.br/marte2/2013/05.28.23.24.30
%@isbn 978-85-17-00066-9 (Internet)
%@isbn 978-85-17-00065-2 (DVD)
%F 403
%T Modelagem dinâmica espacial da cobertura florestal nativa do município de Roca Sales - RS
%D 2013
%A Silva, Juliana Fava e,
%A Eckhardt, Rafael Rodrigo,
%A Rempel, Claudete,
%@electronicmailaddress juliana_favaesilva@yahoo.com.b
%E Epiphanio, José Carlos Neves,
%E Galvão, Lênio Soares,
%B Simpósio Brasileiro de Sensoriamento Remoto, 16 (SBSR)
%C Foz do Iguaçu
%8 13-18 abr. 2013
%I Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
%J São José dos Campos
%P 6703-6710
%S Anais
%1 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
%X The availability of satellite images from a same region of the Earth, spaced in the time, allows the detection of land use and land cover changes and the future scenarios structuration by simulation models of landscape. This paper aims to organize a spatial dynamic model to project a future scenario of the areas with native Atlantic Forest biome in the municipality of Roca Sales / RS for the year 2020. The dynamic model was organized from the temporal analysis of native forest areas between 1989 to 2009 years, done by recursive comparison of Landsat 5 classified images. The spatial dynamic model was structured on Dinamica software, based on Cellular Automata. The results showed that the abandoned agricultural areas in Roca Sales are being progressively converted to native forest areas, mainly in areas with high elevation and high slopes. The native forests increased 76.45% on the landscape analyzed in 20 years. By scenario generated to 2020 year, with the spatial dynamic modeling, the future tendencies point for maintenance regeneration process of the natural forest. The results can serve as a tool for decision support to develop programs order to environmental conservation and the adequate use of land use in landscape ever-changing.
%9 Monitoramento e Modelagem Ambiental
%@language pt
%3 p0403.pdf